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Tag Archives: deflation
What’s Next: Deflation, Inflation, or Hyperinflation?
What’s Next: Deflation, Inflation, or Hyperinflation? Divided Opinions POITOU, France – Last week, young colleagues at Bonner & Partners HQ in Delray Beach, Florida, put us on the spot. “What do we stand for as a publishing business?” they asked. “Who are we? How are we different from anyone else? What do we think that […]
What’s up with the global economy, and where do we go from here?
What’s up with the global economy, and where do we go from here? A deflationary spiral, such as is now becoming evident globally, acts as a natural poison. It now appears that the grand yearly addition to total human wealth, the global GNP, is no longer growing. If so, this means the world is headed […]
Everything’s Deflating And Nobody Seems To Notice
Everything’s Deflating And Nobody Seems To Notice Whenever we at the Automatic Earth explain, as we must have done at least a hundred times in our existence, that, and why, we refuse to define inflation and deflation as rising or falling prices (only), we always get a lot of comments and reactions implying that people […]
What Keeps Neil Howe Up At Night: An Interview With The Author Of “The Fourth Turning”
What Keeps Neil Howe Up At Night: An Interview With The Author Of “The Fourth Turning” “Underproduction, undercapacity, deflation, currency wars, demographics, falling birth rates” – those are the biggest fears which Fourth Turning author, and head of Saeculum Research Neil Howe, lays out in this interview excerpt courtesy of RealVision TV. While Howe goes […]
Short Squeeze, Liquidity, Margin Debt and Deflation
Short Squeeze, Liquidity, Margin Debt and Deflation Some things you CAN see coming, in life and certainly in finance. Quite a few things, actually. Once you understand we’re on a long term downward path, also both in life and in finance, and you’re not exclusively looking at short term gains, it all sort of falls […]
Austerity Good or Bad?
Austerity Good or Bad? QUESTION: Martin, The ‘Austerity’ argument seems a bit confusing. Surely, “Austerity” means reducing the size of Government and is an understanding that we can’t keep funding zillions of civil/public servants and on the other is a reduction of the Social Security Bill – healthcare, social benefits, the cost of the un and […]
Bernanke’s Balderdash
Bernanke’s Balderdash The US and world economies are drifting inexorably into the next recession owing to the deflationary collapse of commodities, capital spending and world trade. These are the inevitable “morning after” consequence of the 20-year global credit binge which has now reached its apogee. The apparent global boom during that period was actually a central bank driven excursion […]
From ZIRP to NIRP
From ZIRP to NIRP The sudden end of the Fed’s ambition to raise interest rates above the zero bound, coupled with the FOMC’s minutes, which expressed concerns about emerging market economies, has got financial scribblers writing about negative interest rate policies (NIRP). Coincidentally, Andrew Haldane, the chief economist at the Bank of England, published a […]
Deflation Warning: The Next Wave
Deflation Warning: The Next Wave The global economic slump is accelerating The signs of deflation are now flashing all over the globe. In our estimation, the possibility of an associated financial crisis is now dangerously high over the next few months. As we’ve been saying for a while, our preferred model for how things are […]
Today’s Turning Point on ECM
Today’s Turning Point on ECM I have been warning that this turning point is not in markets, it is centered in government. The number of issues coming to a head are just mind-blowing from the Catalonia vote to separate from Spain to the resignation of Boehner with non-politicians leading not just in the USA, but […]
Goldman Strikes Again: Did A Probe Into “Global Warming” Fraud Cost A Prime Minister’s Job
Goldman Strikes Again: Did A Probe Into “Global Warming” Fraud Cost A Prime Minister’s Job When Tony Abbott became Australia’s prime minister in September 2013, the chain of events that would prematurely end his tenure may already have been in motion: just a few months later China would order its out of control shadow banking […]
Canada’s Retail Prices Jump the Most in “Over a Decade”
Canada’s Retail Prices Jump the Most in “Over a Decade” When Statistics Canada released its July retail sales report today, it dished out a few unwelcome surprises – and a bombshell. Among the surprises, based on what economists – though perhaps not average Canadians – had expected: Growth in retail sales was a measly 0.5% in July; […]
Is cheaper driving here to stay?
Is cheaper driving here to stay? Gasoline may stay cheap until we burn through the current market glut in perhaps a year. We are now seeing declining growth and a deflationary economic contraction globally. In fact, the current $40-plus a barrel oil price is by itself good proof of that. The global collapse in the […]
Deflationary Collapse Ahead?
Deflationary Collapse Ahead? Both the stock market and oil prices have been plunging. Is this “just another cycle,” or is it something much worse? I think it is something much worse. Back in January, I wrote a post called Oil and the Economy: Where are We Headed in 2015-16? In it, I said that persistent very low prices […]
