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The Dutch love affair with natural gas: A cautionary tale for the United States?

The Dutch love affair with natural gas: A cautionary tale for the United States?

The story sounds familiar. For decades oil and natural gas drilling have been proceeding and creating prosperity for those involved. At some point significant earthquakes occur in areas where they were formerly very rare or nonexistent. Those quakes are linked to oil and gas drilling and production. The industry denies the link.

The quakes continue, get worse and finally get strong enough to do damage.

To those living in the United States, this reads like stories coming out of the fracking boom in states that include Oklahoma, Texas, Ohio, Kansas and Arkansas. To those living in Europe, it’s the story coming out of The Netherlands, home to the Groningen Gas Field, one of the largest natural gas finds ever.

The Groningen field has been both a blessing and a curse for the Dutch. Since its discovery in 1959 the Dutch have reaped huge financial benefits from having their own secure and abundant source of natural gas. Beyond that, the country has until recently been a major exporter of natural gas to its European neighbors.

But the field has also proven to be a drag on the rest of the economy, inflicting what has been dubbed the “Dutch disease.” In short, the Dutch disease refers to negative effects that a huge natural resource find can visit upon a society. These include a decline in other sectors of the economy and a strong currency which makes exports less affordable to foreign buyers. The moniker “Dutch disease” results from the fact that The Netherlands was the first place such effects were studied in detail.

What has caught the Dutch by surprise–and may someday soon catch America by surprise–is the speed with which its decades-long reliance on a large initial endowment of natural gas has turned into a liability.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Australia’s Dutch Disease More Severe Than Canada’s: Currencies – Bloomberg

Australia’s Dutch Disease More Severe Than Canada’s: Currencies – Bloomberg.

The currency market is diagnosingAustralia with a worse case of “Dutch Disease” than Canada as the commodity-heavy economies suffer the fallout from slumping prices.

After a decade-long boom in raw materials that pushed up their exchange rates, manufacturing in both countries is shrinking and some economists are drawing parallels to the Netherlands when it became too dependent on natural gas after its discovery there in 1959. Traders are betting Australia, which this year announced the closure of its last auto plant, may be slower to adapt to the current plunge in commodities than its North American cousin.

Canada’s dollar is outperforming its antipodean counterpart by the most in a year against an index (BCOM) of developed-market peers, and forecasters from Sydney-based Westpac Banking Corp. to Toronto-based Royal Bank of Canada predict that trend will continue. National Australia Bank has recommended betting against the Aussie versus the loonie since March, and says it has no plans to abandon the trade.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

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